V5 (5 Things 1 Topic)

Education is about to undergo some major changes.  Changes that have to the potential to make the current standard practices unrecognizable.  AI is expected to displace an obscene number of employees in the next 10-20 years.  That number will continue to increase for the foreseeable future until eventually we land in something that resembles a post-work economy.  An overwhelming majority of college students cite jobs and pay as their primary reason to attend a post-secondary institution.  Colleges and universities perpetuate that mindset by focusing advertising money on the fact that degree’s amount to dollars.  For the entire history of organized education, this has been true.  Today, students who attain a college degree make around 66% more money than those with nothing more than a high school diploma.

As jobs begin to dimmish, so too will that primary reason for attending college.  So, in a post-work economy, will there be a role for colleges and universities?

I think the answer is maybe/sort-of, but with colossal shifts in perspective about what education has to offer.  The list is long, and the details are hidden.  I’m not even remotely sure about what changes for colleges of the future will entail, lots of things for sure, here are 5!

  1. Adaptation!  The world is changing fast, if people can’t learn to adapt with it, they will be left behind.  The political rhetoric of going back to some imagined time when things were simpler or greater or better is antithetical to reality.  There is no going back, and colleges should be preparing the students of today for the coming disruption to the job market.  Major disruptions will be highly visible within the next 5 years, and undeniable with in the next ten.  A student starting college in 2025 with the promise of finding a job in 2030 will have been sorely misled by the shortsighted arrogance of ill-informed college administrators and recruiters.  Change and uncertainty are and always will be among the scariest obstacles humans have to face.  Preparing students to deal with and thrive within a drastically changing world should be the primary focus of educational institutions at all levels.
  2. Distinguish Facts!  If there were a universal exam to assess the proficiency of individual’s ability to distinguish fact vs. opinion, I’m afraid we would be discouraged by the outcome.  “Fake News”, conspiracy theories, anecdotal evidence, and sophisticated persuasive speech are not only dangerous and prolific, but also entertaining, exciting, and sought after.  Comprehending how to determine misleading information is something that should be included at every level of education from kindergarten through college.  This comes with an emphasis on critical thinking, media literacy, information analysis, fact-checking practices, research methods, and the lessons on the importance of validating sources and information.
  3. Socialization!  One of the biggest fears amongst futurists is where we’ll find value/purpose in a post-work economy.  Jobs currently take up a substantial amount of our waking life.  While most of us find it easy to complain about work in one way or another, it’s still one of the few places that bring people from different walks of life together.   Of course, baseball games, the theater, and the ballet bring people together as well, but not in the way that jobs do.  Aside from affording income (which provides purpose as well as possibility), jobs offer shared experiences in an intimate environment that is relatable solely to the folks involved.  In a post-work environment, we lose that specific daily dose of social interaction, but that doesn’t mean we have to lose the benefits of those interactions.  Teaching students the value of shared experience, as well as how to form social bonds should alleviate some of the concern for loss of purpose.
  4. Communication!  This goes along with socialization because effective communication can lead to deeper and more impactful connections.  Opposed to popular opinion, ineffective communication skills are not limited to any one particular generation.  There is room for improvement across the board.  Humans are communal, and without jobs to help broaden our analogue (as opposed to digital) communities, we’ll be forced to establish new avenues for communal relationships.  Digital communities will play an enormous role in how and where we communicate, but these communities should be peripheral surrogates and not replacements.  If we lose our ability to communicate in live person to person interactions, we will be giving up on what many believe to be an evolutionary foundation of human flourishing.  Colleges can and should make communication an essential part of the curriculum moving forward, not only to serve the purposes stated above, but also as a means to communicate with artificial intelligence in a way that is both advantageous and efficient.
  5.  The Value of Learning.  In the ancient world, prior to any schools, or libraries, or even books for that matter, people began asking new types of questions.  They weren’t searching for answers that would come with a grand payout or vastly change their place on the social hierarchy.  They started asking questions simply because they were curious.  That curiosity set in motion a race to understand the world around us.  Getting caught up in that race proved to be highly beneficial.  That race led to advances in just about everything one could imagine from medicine to technology.  Our curious ancestors from the ancient world could not possibly comprehend just how significant their early wonders would become. I’m not sure they would care.  Those early questioners weren’t in it for the money or the glory, their questions held no extrinsic value (for them), they were in it for the questions themselves.  Starting in the ancient world, and sparsely sprinkled throughout time, there have been moments when the primary goal of education was intrinsic.  That is, learning was desired not for the sake of some material good, but in and for itself.  Sometimes people want to learn simply to learn.  The time of colleges conferring grades and awarding degrees is coming to an end, but that doesn’t mean that education has to follow suit.  The shift from an extrinsic value placed upon learning to an intrinsic value won’t be seamless, but if colleges are to withstand the changing winds, they too will have to adapt.

Taken individually, these five points will be easily accessible in a post-work economy, but the institutions of higher learning are primed to offer all five in the same place and same time.  One can easily imagine colleges and universities becoming community hubs for social interaction, not just for young folks, but for anyone anywhere looking to fill the gap in a world once dominated by 40 hour workweeks and weekly paychecks!

I do want to note that colleges and universities will be joined by plenty of other opportunities for people to “fill the gap”.  I think places like climbing gyms and crags can offer similar avenues by which to achieve these five points.  Especially adaptation, socialization, and community.  Perhaps we’ll see the merger of several similar resources throughout communities worldwide?  Perhaps that is wishful thinking.  There are a lot of ways in which colleges can play a role in our fast approaching future, these are just five!

V5 (5 Things 1 Topic)

Carrot

13 Replies to “V5 (5 Things 1 Topic)”

  1. halffastcyclingclub's avatar

    I’ve seen the phrase “post-work economy” and am still puzzled by what that might look like. Our value to society is measured by our work. That will have to change. (And that is a can of worms I won’t get into here. I spent a few hours on it with a friend in the computer industry who made several times what I made.)

    Post-college education has already changed in a big way. In my field we are required to attend a set number of hours of annual continuing education. Pre-pandemic that meant going to seminars. All of it went online during the pandemic. CE providers learned it was a lot cheaper to pay teachers once, record the seminar, and then sell it online with a minimal royalty paid to the teacher for each unit sold. Employers learned that it was a lot cheaper to not pay workers to go to seminars (where they had to eat and might need to sleep). If a course was offered online, an employer could now require you to watch it on your own time (evenings and weekends) and not pay you.

    I used to train people in how to put spinal braces on patients safely. I brought a bed and a bunch of braces and people practiced on each other. Now they watch a video.

    As the teacher, I was paid a few thousand dollars for a two day seminar. (The brace thing was only part of it.) Now I get 15% of the video price. That price was initially $500. They have periodic sales and the price is sometimes $45, since they’ve paid off their investment.

    Liked by 2 people

    1. thedihedral's avatar

      This is the perfect example of the direction and continued direction of eliminating education and jobs.

      I just finished working with a AI film producer to make a short clip of Plato speaking with Meno (something I teach each semester to my intro classes). In a day AI was able to recreate the conversation with Plato and Meno talking to one another in Ancient Greece, with different voice inflections, different facial expressions, different camera perspectives, and a fully digitalized world that takes the viewer back to Greece, using the dialogue that Plato himself wrote. Now, I don’t think I do a bad job explaining the conversation, but I can’t compete with Socrates teaching it “live”. And of course it’s only going to get better in terms of realism, to the point where the entire class can be laid out in a virtual world, with inexpensive algorithms creating captivating content for minimal cost.

      I’ve talked to a VR Education firm that does just that, and it is pretty spectacular, but the unintended costs to save money, may not be worth the savings, and that is the point that I think administrators will miss out on until it’s too late.

      Liked by 2 people

  2. Eilene Lyon's avatar

    I don’t think AI and robots will be able to replace all work. Someone still has to pick the strawberries and build the condos. Firefighting? I’m not ready for full-on robotic surgery, either!

    Ive ready that the “soft sciences” of sociology, for example will be important. Charm school? People may need to be retrained in real-life communication.

    I’m still trying to wrap my head around a post-factual society where down is up and vice versa. Will our HVAC systems continue to function? Cars? The economy of consumerism? Will we need money if there’s nothing worth buying?

    Liked by 5 people

    1. halffastcyclingclub's avatar

      I spent 20+ years working in a hospital. There are a lot of jobs there that can’t be farmed out to another country (our pre-AI fear) and still need a human. Nurses, therapists, nurses aides are all pretty hard to replace with machines. How do you program a machine to help someone get out of bed when that person has an unusual combination of injuries? And train them (and their family members) to do it at home? My job felt pretty secure.

      Liked by 3 people

    2. thedihedral's avatar

      I know strawberries and condos are just examples, but in just a few years these things have already been figured out. We are already 3D printing full on livable houses, the process is pretty interesting to watch, and strawberry picking also has a check mark next to it. Haptic developed a machine that can work 24 hours a day all day every day, with optics to differentiate ripeness.

      https://www.postharvest.com/videos/traptic-tech-highlight

      This is a short video to show how the machine works, not by concept but already in the field.

      The major issue of course is employment. Most individual farmers could never afford this machine, but most farms are now corporate, meaning the actual farmers of the land will be out of jobs sooner than most realize. Cars, mechanics, and even cleaners are also already automated, and it’s really just a matter of time before most driving will be done by AI.

      I wish I were more optimistic, but in the span of 10-20 years, I can’t imagine the corporate world will forgo what will be a windfall in the range to 16 trillion dollars, because they care about the workforce.

      To your point, not all jobs will be replaced at once, but I do think all jobs will be affected significantly in a relatively short timeline.

      Liked by 2 people

      1. thedihedral's avatar

        That is the question I have been working on! I am optimistic that even without out the jobs available today, things can still be better than ever. It is the value point mentioned in the post. I’d tell your niece to learn German and everything else she wants to learn and to love it and to make sure that above all else to enjoy life.

        Liked by 2 people

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